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For release:
October 18, 2023
California home prices hold steady as high interest rates continue to test housing market, C.A.R. reports
LOS ANGELES (Oct. 18) – Persistently high mortgage rates continue to test California’s housing market as home sales fell for the fourth consecutive month in September, while the median price rose from the year-ago level for the third straight month to record its largest year-over-year gain in more than a year, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
Infographic: https://www.car.org/en/Global/Infographics/2023-09-Sales-and-Price
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 240,940 in September, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2023 if sales maintained the September pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
September’s sales pace was down 5.4 percent on a monthly basis from 254,740 in August and down 21.5 percent from a year ago, when a revised 307,000 homes were sold on an annualized basis. Sales of existing single-family homes in California remained below the 300,000-unit pace for the 12th month in a row. The monthly decline was the fourth consecutive decrease, and the annual decline was the 27th straight drop.
With the market being less competitive, there are greater opportunities for consumers who need to purchase a home for personal reasons or those who can qualify to purchase at today’s interest rates,” said C.A.R. President Jennifer Branchini, a Bay Area REALTOR®.
“More sellers are making concessions as homes are taking longer to sell, fewer homes are selling above asking price, and there are more homes to choose from.”
Home prices rose again from the year-ago level for the third straight month, as the statewide median price recorded its largest year-over-year gain in 15 months. California’s statewide median price dipped 1.9 percent from August’s revised $859,800 to $843,340 in September and rose 3.2 percent from $817,150 a year ago. While September’s median price took a step back from the 15-month high recorded in August, the month-to-month decline was in line with the long-run August-to-September price adjustment of -1.8 percent observed in the last 44 years. Prices are likely to experience monthly declines in the next couple of months, following the traditional seasonal pattern. Positive year-over-year price growth is expected to persist through the remainder of the year as housing supply is expected to remain tight.
“As mortgage rates surge to new highs not seen in more than two decades, home sales are being tested and are likely to remain tepid for the next few months,” said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “With the Fed planning on holding rates higher for longer, the cost of borrowing will remain elevated and may not come down much in the near term. Housing affordability will continue to hinder sales activity for the rest of the year, especially in the low- and mid-price ranges.”
Other key points from C.A.R.’s September 2023 resale housing report include:
Home prices continued to improve in many counties across the state, but 21 counties still registered a year-over-year decline in their median prices in September. Lassen posted the biggest price decline with a drop of -32.6 percent from last September, followed by Lake (-23.4 percent) and Mendocino (-16.3 percent). Twenty-nine counties recorded an annual increase in median price, with Mariposa (26.4 percent) recording the biggest jump in its median price, followed by Calaveras (19.4 percent) and Tulare (14.9 percent).
Note: The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data is not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower end or the upper end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.
*Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its original list price and is expressed as a percentage. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.
**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property. It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet. C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 51 counties.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 200,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
# # #
September 2023 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
September 2023 |
Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes |
Sales |
|||||||
State/Region/County |
Sept. 2023 |
Aug. 2023 |
|
Sept. 2022 |
|
Price MTM% Chg |
Price YTY% Chg |
Sales MTM% Chg |
Sales YTY% Chg |
Calif. Single-family home |
$843,340 |
$859,800 |
|
$817,150 |
r |
-1.9% |
3.2% |
-5.4% |
-21.5% |
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
$650,000 |
$657,000 |
|
$620,000 |
|
-1.1% |
4.8% |
-16.8% |
-18.7% |
Los Angeles Metro Area |
$780,000 |
$792,500 |
|
$750,000 |
|
-1.6% |
4.0% |
-10.7% |
-20.8% |
Central Coast |
$950,000 |
$950,000 |
|
$920,000 |
|
0.0% |
3.3% |
-6.3% |
-20.8% |
Central Valley |
$481,000 |
$485,000 |
|
$465,000 |
r |
-0.8% |
3.4% |
-9.8% |
-22.5% |
Far North |
$385,000 |
$369,000 |
|
$379,740 |
r |
4.3% |
1.4% |
-15.4% |
-22.3% |
Inland Empire |
$550,000 |
$569,990 |
|
$562,240 |
|
-3.5% |
-2.2% |
-12.8% |
-24.8% |
San Francisco Bay Area |
$1,300,000 |
$1,260,000 |
|
$1,220,000 |
r |
3.2% |
6.6% |
-9.6% |
-23.7% |
Southern California |
$820,000 |
$830,000 |
|
$783,380 |
|
-1.2% |
4.7% |
-12.4% |
-21.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
$1,300,000 |
$1,250,000 |
|
$1,200,000 |
r |
4.0% |
8.3% |
-6.6% |
-25.1% |
Contra Costa |
$871,250 |
$844,440 |
|
$870,000 |
r |
3.2% |
0.1% |
-13.7% |
-26.6% |
Marin |
$1,650,000 |
$1,475,000 |
|
$1,728,000 |
r |
11.9% |
-4.5% |
4.4% |
-21.2% |
Napa |
$890,000 |
$1,055,000 |
|
$997,500 |
r |
-15.6% |
-10.8% |
-21.3% |
-26.3% |
San Francisco |
$1,580,000 |
$1,576,000 |
|
$1,650,000 |
|
0.3% |
-4.2% |
-0.7% |
-18.3% |
San Mateo |
$1,955,000 |
$1,950,000 |
|
$1,860,500 |
|
0.3% |
5.1% |
-0.4% |
-14.1% |
Santa Clara |
$1,853,000 |
$1,852,500 |
|
$1,700,000 |
|
0.0% |
9.0% |
-12.0% |
-23.4% |
Solano |
$585,680 |
$599,000 |
|
$590,000 |
r |
-2.2% |
-0.7% |
-14.4% |
-31.1% |
Sonoma |
$848,000 |
$850,000 |
|
$805,000 |
r |
-0.2% |
5.3% |
-12.2% |
-18.3% |
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
$914,640 |
$882,020 |
|
$891,770 |
|
3.7% |
2.6% |
-4.5% |
-18.3% |
Orange |
$1,310,000 |
$1,310,000 |
|
$1,200,000 |
|
0.0% |
9.2% |
-17.3% |
-19.6% |
Riverside |
$600,000 |
$618,000 |
|
$600,000 |
|
-2.9% |
0.0% |
-14.8% |
-25.5% |
San Bernardino |
$475,000 |
$495,000 |
|
$480,000 |
|
-4.0% |
-1.0% |
-9.2% |
-23.6% |
San Diego |
$973,100 |
$1,000,000 |
|
$899,000 |
|
-2.7% |
8.2% |
-19.4% |
-25.3% |
Ventura |
$962,500 |
$915,000 |
|
$850,000 |
|
5.2% |
13.2% |
-16.0% |
-15.7% |
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
$943,340 |
$897,000 |
|
$822,500 |
|
5.2% |
14.7% |
-9.5% |
-20.0% |
San Luis Obispo |
$888,000 |
$868,810 |
|
$875,000 |
|
2.2% |
1.5% |
1.6% |
-17.0% |
Santa Barbara |
$1,030,000 |
$1,295,000 |
|
$905,000 |
|
-20.5% |
13.8% |
-5.2% |
-26.0% |
Santa Cruz |
$1,165,000 |
$1,200,000 |
|
$1,217,500 |
|
-2.9% |
-4.3% |
-14.9% |
-20.8% |
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
$410,000 |
$425,000 |
|
$415,000 |
|
-3.5% |
-1.2% |
-9.1% |
-31.4% |
Glenn |
$300,000 |
$321,000 |
|
$327,000 |
|
-6.5% |
-8.3% |
-8.3% |
-38.9% |
Kern |
$383,000 |
$394,500 |
|
$365,000 |
|
-2.9% |
4.9% |
-8.9% |
-21.5% |
Kings |
$370,750 |
$382,500 |
|
$342,500 |
|
-3.1% |
8.2% |
-8.8% |
-24.4% |
Madera |
$410,000 |
$453,000 |
|
$410,000 |
|
-9.5% |
0.0% |
-9.8% |
10.3% |
Merced |
$384,500 |
$385,000 |
|
$377,000 |
|
-0.1% |
2.0% |
16.2% |
-5.5% |
Placer |
$665,000 |
$669,000 |
|
$640,000 |
r |
-0.6% |
3.9% |
-12.4% |
-14.6% |
Sacramento |
$545,000 |
$535,000 |
|
$515,000 |
r |
1.9% |
5.8% |
-10.2% |
-25.2% |
San Benito |
$761,250 |
$777,550 |
|
$750,000 |
|
-2.1% |
1.5% |
-8.1% |
-20.9% |
San Joaquin |
$550,000 |
$535,000 |
|
$535,000 |
r |
2.8% |
2.8% |
-1.0% |
-25.6% |
Stanislaus |
$469,500 |
$465,000 |
|
$450,000 |
r |
1.0% |
4.3% |
-17.3% |
-25.4% |
Tulare |
$385,000 |
$372,000 |
|
$335,000 |
|
3.5% |
14.9% |
-19.1% |
-13.6% |
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
$429,420 |
$436,250 |
|
$429,780 |
|
-1.6% |
-0.1% |
4.4% |
-21.7% |
Lassen |
$181,250 |
$225,000 |
|
$269,000 |
|
-19.4% |
-32.6% |
-39.1% |
-39.1% |
Plumas |
$441,250 |
$412,000 |
|
$475,000 |
|
7.1% |
-7.1% |
-41.7% |
-20.0% |
Shasta |
$385,000 |
$365,000 |
|
$375,000 |
|
5.5% |
2.7% |
-13.4% |
-20.1% |
Siskiyou |
$325,000 |
$305,500 |
|
$352,450 |
|
6.4% |
-7.8% |
-37.5% |
-52.4% |
Tehama |
$310,000 |
$312,050 |
|
$302,000 |
|
-0.7% |
2.6% |
0.0% |
3.2% |
Trinity |
$320,000 |
$205,000 |
|
$346,750 |
|
56.1% |
-7.7% |
-28.6% |
0.0% |
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
$414,250 |
$490,000 |
|
$399,000 |
r |
-15.5% |
3.8% |
-29.8% |
-27.3% |
Calaveras |
$537,500 |
$475,000 |
|
$450,000 |
|
13.2% |
19.4% |
-16.9% |
-19.0% |
Del Norte |
$400,000 |
$382,500 |
|
$418,750 |
|
4.6% |
-4.5% |
-27.8% |
-18.8% |
El Dorado |
$685,000 |
$657,000 |
|
$645,000 |
r |
4.3% |
6.2% |
-29.1% |
-19.7% |
Humboldt |
$422,500 |
$421,920 |
|
$460,000 |
|
0.1% |
-8.2% |
2.2% |
2.2% |
Lake |
$260,000 |
$325,000 |
|
$339,500 |
|
-20.0% |
-23.4% |
-27.1% |
-8.9% |
Mariposa |
$432,500 |
$480,000 |
|
$342,200 |
|
-9.9% |
26.4% |
-60.0% |
-46.7% |
Mendocino |
$448,000 |
$560,000 |
|
$535,000 |
|
-20.0% |
-16.3% |
4.7% |
-11.8% |
Mono |
$935,000 |
$970,000 |
|
$1,105,000 |
|
-3.6% |
-15.4% |
125.0% |
50.0% |
Nevada |
$563,000 |
$555,000 |
|
$565,000 |
r |
1.4% |
-0.4% |
-10.9% |
-23.7% |
Sutter |
$430,000 |
$425,000 |
|
$440,700 |
r |
1.2% |
-2.4% |
-4.5% |
14.5% |
Tuolumne |
$419,000 |
$389,500 |
|
$399,500 |
|
7.6% |
4.9% |
-26.6% |
-26.6% |
Yolo |
$608,640 |
$622,500 |
|
$625,000 |
r |
-2.2% |
-2.6% |
-19.0% |
-22.3% |
Yuba |
$433,250 |
$449,500 |
|
$433,000 |
r |
-3.6% |
0.1% |
16.1% |
-1.4% |
r = revised
September 2023 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
September-23 |
Unsold Inventory Index |
Median Time on Market |
||||||||
State/Region/County |
Sept. 2023 |
Aug. 2023 |
|
Sept. 2022 |
|
Sept. 2023 |
Aug. 2023 |
|
Sept. 2022 |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
2.8 |
2.4 |
|
2.8 |
r |
18.0 |
18.0 |
|
27.0 |
r |
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
2.7 |
2.2 |
|
2.6 |
r |
18.0 |
16.0 |
|
25.0 |
r |
Los Angeles Metro Area |
2.8 |
2.4 |
|
3.1 |
|
21.0 |
20.0 |
|
29.0 |
r |
Central Coast |
3.0 |
2.9 |
|
2.5 |
|
18.0 |
15.0 |
|
22.0 |
r |
Central Valley |
2.7 |
2.3 |
|
2.7 |
r |
16.0 |
16.0 |
|
24.0 |
r |
Far North |
4.8 |
4.2 |
|
4.0 |
r |
35.0 |
27.0 |
|
38.5 |
r |
Inland Empire |
3.3 |
2.9 |
|
3.4 |
|
25.0 |
22.0 |
|
31.0 |
r |
San Francisco Bay Area |
2.3 |
1.9 |
|
2.1 |
r |
14.0 |
14.0 |
|
26.0 |
r |
Southern California |
2.8 |
2.3 |
|
3.0 |
|
20.0 |
18.0 |
|
27.0 |
r |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
1.6 |
1.4 |
|
1.9 |
r |
11.0 |
12.0 |
|
18.0 |
r |
Contra Costa |
1.6 |
1.4 |
|
2.1 |
r |
12.0 |
12.0 |
|
21.0 |
|
Marin |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
2.5 |
r |
56.0 |
45.0 |
|
63.0 |
r |
Napa |
6.1 |
4.5 |
|
3.8 |
r |
52.0 |
60.0 |
|
46.0 |
r |
San Francisco |
3.7 |
2.9 |
|
3.2 |
|
28.0 |
47.0 |
|
33.0 |
r |
San Mateo |
2.4 |
2.1 |
|
2.1 |
|
11.0 |
12.0 |
|
17.5 |
|
Santa Clara |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
1.8 |
|
8.0 |
8.0 |
|
16.0 |
|
Solano |
2.8 |
2.3 |
|
1.8 |
r |
35.0 |
29.0 |
|
42.0 |
r |
Sonoma |
3.7 |
3.1 |
|
2.7 |
r |
57.0 |
62.0 |
|
49.0 |
r |
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
2.7 |
2.4 |
|
3.1 |
|
19.0 |
18.0 |
|
27.0 |
r |
Orange |
2.3 |
2.0 |
|
2.5 |
|
19.0 |
18.0 |
|
30.0 |
r |
Riverside |
3.0 |
2.5 |
|
3.3 |
|
25.0 |
23.0 |
|
31.0 |
r |
San Bernardino |
3.8 |
3.5 |
|
3.6 |
|
24.0 |
21.0 |
|
31.0 |
r |
San Diego |
2.5 |
1.9 |
|
2.7 |
|
14.0 |
13.0 |
|
21.0 |
r |
Ventura |
2.3 |
2.1 |
|
2.7 |
|
31.5 |
25.0 |
|
34.0 |
r |
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
2.8 |
2.7 |
|
2.8 |
|
15.0 |
13.5 |
|
17.0 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
2.4 |
|
21.0 |
22.0 |
|
29.0 |
r |
Santa Barbara |
3.0 |
2.9 |
|
2.4 |
|
17.0 |
13.0 |
|
20.5 |
|
Santa Cruz |
3.5 |
2.9 |
|
2.5 |
|
17.0 |
14.0 |
|
19.0 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
3.3 |
2.8 |
|
2.8 |
|
16.5 |
12.0 |
|
20.0 |
r |
Glenn |
5.0 |
4.4 |
|
2.9 |
|
14.0 |
9.5 |
|
41.0 |
r |
Kern |
2.5 |
2.1 |
|
2.8 |
|
10.0 |
11.0 |
|
23.0 |
|
Kings |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
2.6 |
|
12.5 |
12.0 |
|
19.5 |
|
Madera |
4.3 |
3.7 |
|
4.6 |
|
32.5 |
27.0 |
|
27.0 |
r |
Merced |
2.8 |
3.2 |
|
3.5 |
|
21.0 |
20.0 |
|
30.0 |
r |
Placer |
2.5 |
2.2 |
|
2.8 |
r |
21.0 |
24.0 |
|
29.0 |
r |
Sacramento |
2.1 |
1.9 |
|
2.4 |
r |
15.0 |
14.0 |
|
25.0 |
r |
San Benito |
3.9 |
3.5 |
|
3.4 |
|
17.0 |
34.0 |
|
34.0 |
|
San Joaquin |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
2.3 |
r |
14.0 |
17.0 |
|
29.0 |
r |
Stanislaus |
2.6 |
2.1 |
|
2.9 |
r |
18.0 |
14.0 |
|
26.0 |
r |
Tulare |
2.9 |
2.2 |
|
2.9 |
|
11.0 |
17.0 |
|
14.0 |
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
3.3 |
|
20.5 |
19.0 |
|
25.0 |
r |
Lassen |
8.6 |
5.2 |
|
5.3 |
|
62.5 |
35.0 |
|
90.0 |
|
Plumas |
6.5 |
4.0 |
|
4.8 |
|
42.0 |
32.0 |
|
59.0 |
r |
Shasta |
4.1 |
3.7 |
|
3.7 |
|
35.0 |
23.0 |
|
31.0 |
|
Siskiyou |
12.3 |
8.0 |
|
4.9 |
|
53.5 |
27.0 |
|
56.5 |
r |
Tehama |
4.3 |
4.2 |
|
6.3 |
|
49.5 |
65.0 |
|
52.0 |
|
Trinity |
11.2 |
8.4 |
|
NA |
|
56.5 |
43.5 |
|
99.0 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
6.8 |
4.5 |
|
4.1 |
r |
36.0 |
39.0 |
|
43.0 |
r |
Calaveras |
4.2 |
3.3 |
|
3.7 |
|
35.5 |
25.0 |
|
69.0 |
|
Del Norte |
6.2 |
5.0 |
|
5.1 |
|
23.0 |
20.5 |
|
31.0 |
r |
El Dorado |
4.2 |
2.9 |
|
3.0 |
r |
27.0 |
21.0 |
|
49.0 |
r |
Humboldt |
5.2 |
5.2 |
|
4.7 |
|
19.0 |
16.5 |
|
18.5 |
|
Lake |
8.3 |
6.0 |
|
7.3 |
|
36.0 |
45.0 |
|
37.0 |
r |
Mariposa |
14.3 |
5.3 |
|
5.3 |
|
42.5 |
27.5 |
|
25.0 |
r |
Mendocino |
7.5 |
7.4 |
|
6.3 |
r |
70.0 |
71.0 |
|
70.0 |
r |
Mono |
1.6 |
4.8 |
|
4.1 |
|
19.0 |
23.5 |
|
80.0 |
|
Nevada |
3.8 |
3.3 |
|
3.2 |
|
32.5 |
35.0 |
|
52.0 |
r |
Sutter |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
3.2 |
r |
18.0 |
22.5 |
|
31.0 |
r |
Tuolumne |
5.2 |
3.7 |
|
3.3 |
|
29.0 |
35.0 |
|
32.5 |
r |
Yolo |
2.7 |
2.3 |
|
2.2 |
r |
18.5 |
17.0 |
|
34.0 |
r |
Yuba |
3.2 |
3.5 |
|
3.9 |
r |
15.5 |
17.0 |
|
32.0 |
r |
r = revised